Sport Picks
Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Soldier Field, Chicago, IL 
AI Match Summary
Chicago Fire host Columbus Crew in the MLS. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chicago Fire have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Columbus Crew's 1.7 scored and 1.36 conceded. Past meetings favor Columbus Crew slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.88, favoring Columbus Crew. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Columbus Crew come out ahead of Chicago Fire on wins alone.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Columbus Crew taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chicago Fire | Columbus Crew |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chicago Fire found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
Columbus Crew has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Chicago Fire went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chicago Fire
(Home)Columbus Crew
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 72:34 | 61 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 59:50 | 55 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 56:48 | 52 |
| 4 | St. Louis City | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58:48 | 51 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 51:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 49:55 | 44 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 60:61 | 43 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 10 | Seattle Sounders | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 51:51 | 42 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 53:57 | 41 |
| 13 | San Diego FC | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 57:62 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 42:63 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 39:81 | 23 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 69:25 | 74 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 77:56 | 59 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 55:46 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 61:50 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 63:48 | 53 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 62:51 | 47 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 67:73 | 46 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 55:49 | 44 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62:78 | 43 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 45:62 | 39 |
| 11 | New York City | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 48:45 | 39 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 51:63 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 43:57 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 39:60 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 37:67 | 26 |
