Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami

USA USA

MLS Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Thu, Sep 10, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chicago Fire host Inter Miami in the MLS. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Chicago Fire have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Inter Miami's 2.44 scored and 1.74 conceded. Head-to-head, Chicago Fire have won 1 to Inter Miami's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.63, favoring Inter Miami. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chicago Fire
30%
Draws
23%
Inter Miami
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chicago Fire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Chicago Fire have won more games recently than Inter Miami.
  • Model gives Inter Miami a 23% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 14%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire Inter Miami
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.86 2.44
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 MLS
Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
3:2
Sep 30, 2025 MLS
Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
3:5
Apr 13, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami
1:4
Jul 20, 2024 MLS
Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire 27 / 100
Inter Miami 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire Inter Miami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Miami Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Inter Miami conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Chicago Fire has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire VS Inter Miami
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Fire

(Home)
29 Aug
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2
Chicago Fire
26 Aug
Monterrey
2 : 1
Chicago Fire
22 Aug
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1
Chicago Fire
19 Aug
Orlando City
1 : 2
Chicago Fire
16 Aug
Chicago Fire
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 6

Inter Miami

(Away)
29 Aug
Inter Miami
7 : 1
CF Montreal
22 Aug
Inter Miami
1 : 2
Toronto FC
19 Aug
Philadelphia Union
2 : 2
Inter Miami
16 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 1
Inter Miami
12 Aug
Inter Miami
2 : 3
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 21 13 4 4 48:18 43
2 Houston Dynamo 22 12 3 7 30:26 39
3 Los Angeles FC 23 10 6 7 36:22 36
4 San Jose Earthquakes 22 10 4 8 39:33 34
5 FC Dallas 22 9 7 6 41:37 34
6 St. Louis City 22 9 7 6 33:30 34
7 Colorado Rapids 22 10 1 11 31:28 31
8 San Diego FC 22 8 6 8 40:33 30
9 Minnesota United 22 7 8 7 30:32 29
10 Real Salt Lake 21 8 4 9 34:33 28
11 Portland Timbers 22 8 4 10 39:39 28
12 Seattle Sounders 21 7 5 9 24:29 26
13 Los Angeles Galaxy 23 6 8 9 28:35 26
14 Austin FC 22 6 6 10 28:41 24
15 Sporting Kansas City 22 4 3 15 20:54 15
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 23 16 5 2 47:17 53
2 Inter Miami 22 12 6 4 56:41 42
3 Chicago Fire 21 11 4 6 39:28 37
4 New England Revolution 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
5 Charlotte FC 22 10 5 7 40:32 35
6 FC Cincinnati 22 8 7 7 49:51 31
7 New York City 23 7 8 8 36:31 29
8 New York Red Bulls 22 7 5 10 32:46 26
9 Orlando City 22 7 4 11 37:54 25
10 Toronto FC 22 5 10 7 32:38 25
11 DC United 22 5 10 7 28:36 25
12 Philadelphia Union 22 6 6 10 34:39 24
13 Atlanta United 22 6 3 13 25:38 21
14 CF Montreal 22 5 6 11 30:46 21
15 Columbus Crew 22 5 5 12 31:39 20
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)