Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC

USA USA

MLS Soldier Field
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Zinckernagel P.
Assist: Bamba J.
61'
Sub
Muyl A. In: Madrigal W.
Out: Muyl A.
61'
Sub
Corcoran M. In: Yazbek P.
Out: Corcoran M.

AI Match Summary

Chicago Fire in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Fire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chicago Fire
40%
Draws
29%
Nashville SC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Chicago Fire average 2.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Nashville SC's 1.5.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 15%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire Nashville SC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC
1:0
Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire
1:4
Jun 15, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire
7:2
Oct 19, 2024 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Fire Compare

Top Goalscorer Zinckernagel P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Nashville SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire 31 / 100
Nashville SC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire Nashville SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Nashville SC has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Chicago Fire stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire VS Nashville SC
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307