Sport Picks
Chicago Fire vs Necaxa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
Leagues Cup SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, IL 
Match Events
23'
23'
Martinez R.
31'
31'
Dean J.
46'
46'
Sub
Rodriguez E. In: Gonzalez O.
Out: Rodriguez E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
77%
15%
8%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chicago Fire
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
77%
/ Very High Confidence
- Chicago Fire carry the better recent record into this one.
- Chicago Fire are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Chicago Fire have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Chicago Fire, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 17%
Necaxa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chicago Fire | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Leagues Cup
Chicago Fire vs Necaxa
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chicago Fire Compare
Top Goalscorer Dean J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gutman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Necaxa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chicago Fire 84 / 100
Necaxa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chicago Fire Necaxa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chicago Fire Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Chicago Fire scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Necaxa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Chicago Fire remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chicago Fire VS Necaxa
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chicago Fire
(Home) 17 Oct
New England Revolution
1 : 0 Chicago Fire
15 Oct
Chicago Fire
1 : 3 Philadelphia Union
10 Oct
Chicago Fire
2 : 1 New York City
07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6
15 Oct
Chicago Fire
1 : 3 Philadelphia Union
10 Oct
Chicago Fire
2 : 1 New York City
07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2 New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1 Inter Miami
Page 1 of 3
Necaxa
(Away) 17 Oct
Necaxa
0 : 2 Atlas
11 Oct
Pachuca
3 : 3 Necaxa
28 Sept
Necaxa
2 : 4 Club America
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1 Necaxa
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1 Puebla
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Pachuca
3 : 3 Necaxa
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1 Necaxa
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1 Necaxa
24 Aug
UNAM Pumas
1 : 1 Necaxa
13 Aug
New York City
1 : 2 Necaxa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Leon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Juarez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Puebla | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Nashville SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
