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Chicago Fire vs Orlando City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chicago Fire host Orlando City in the MLS. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Chicago Fire at 1.83 goals for, 1.53 against; Orlando City at 2.31 for, 1.97 against. Head-to-head, Chicago Fire have won 3 to Orlando City's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 19, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.88) back Chicago Fire to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chicago Fire
15%
Draws
37%
Orlando City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chicago Fire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Orlando City average 2.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Chicago Fire's 1.83.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%
Orlando City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire Orlando City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.83 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 MLS
Orlando City vs Chicago Fire
1:2
Oct 23, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Orlando City
3:1
May 31, 2025 MLS
Orlando City vs Chicago Fire
1:3
May 4, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Orlando City
0:0
Jun 22, 2024 MLS
Orlando City vs Chicago Fire
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire 30 / 100
Orlando City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire Orlando City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chicago Fire scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Orlando City has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Chicago Fire went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire VS Orlando City
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Fire

(Home)
17 Oct
New England Revolution
1 : 0
Chicago Fire
15 Oct
Chicago Fire
1 : 3
Philadelphia Union
10 Oct
Chicago Fire
2 : 1
New York City
07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6

Orlando City

(Away)
17 Oct
Orlando City
4 : 1
DC United
14 Oct
Toronto FC
3 : 3
Orlando City
10 Oct
Orlando City
3 : 2
Columbus Crew
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2
Orlando City
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 30 16 7 7 63:31 55
2 St. Louis City 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
3 FC Dallas 30 14 9 7 55:47 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes 30 13 9 8 52:42 48
5 Houston Dynamo 30 13 8 9 41:39 47
6 Los Angeles FC 31 12 10 9 48:33 46
7 Seattle Sounders 30 11 9 10 39:37 42
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 31 10 10 11 43:52 40
9 Colorado Rapids 30 11 6 13 41:41 39
10 Real Salt Lake 30 10 6 14 45:48 36
11 Portland Timbers 30 9 7 14 51:56 34
12 San Diego FC 30 8 10 12 53:56 34
13 Minnesota United 30 8 10 12 47:55 34
14 Austin FC 30 7 10 13 38:56 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 30 6 4 20 36:75 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 30 20 7 3 64:23 67
2 Inter Miami 30 15 10 5 73:51 55
3 New England Revolution 30 16 4 10 49:41 52
4 Chicago Fire 30 14 6 10 52:44 48
5 Charlotte FC 30 13 8 9 53:45 47
6 Philadelphia Union 30 13 7 10 61:48 46
7 Orlando City 30 12 5 13 58:70 41
8 New York Red Bulls 30 10 6 14 39:56 36
9 FC Cincinnati 29 9 9 11 60:70 36
10 Toronto FC 30 8 12 10 46:55 36
11 Columbus Crew 30 10 5 15 46:47 35
12 New York City 30 8 10 12 43:41 34
13 DC United 29 7 12 10 37:51 33
14 Atlanta United 30 8 6 16 37:51 30
15 CF Montreal 30 6 7 17 36:60 25
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)