Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chicago Fire play Portland Timbers in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chicago Fire averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Portland Timbers averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Chicago Fire won 2, Portland Timbers won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Chicago Fire and 1.63 for Portland Timbers. This points to a Chicago Fire double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chicago Fire
26%
Draws
26%
Portland Timbers
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Chicago Fire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Chicago Fire picked up more points recently compared to Portland Timbers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 14%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire Portland Timbers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers
3:4
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Portland Timbers vs Chicago Fire
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Portland Timbers vs Chicago Fire
1:2
Jun 22, 2023 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Chicago Fire
1:2
May 28, 2020 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire 46 / 100
Portland Timbers 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire Portland Timbers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chicago Fire or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chicago Fire attacking → ← attacking Portland Timbers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Portland Timbers let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Chicago Fire went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Portland Timbers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 30
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63