Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Fire vs Santos Laguna

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, IL
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bullaude E.
28'
Mariscal Murra S.
46'
Sub
Turdean R. In: Oregel S.
Out: Turdean R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Chicago Fire
35%
Draws
37%
Santos Laguna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santos Laguna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chicago Fire lately — more wins on the board than Santos Laguna.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Chicago Fire have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chicago Fire, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 20%
Santos Laguna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire Santos Laguna
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.86 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Leagues Cup
Chicago Fire vs Santos Laguna
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Fire Compare

Top Goalscorer Zinckernagel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lod R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santos Laguna Compare

Top Goalscorer Bullaude E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire 31 / 100
Santos Laguna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire Santos Laguna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chicago Fire Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Santos Laguna has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chicago Fire stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire VS Santos Laguna
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Fire

(Home)
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4
Chicago Fire
29 Aug
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2
Chicago Fire
26 Aug
Monterrey
2 : 1
Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6

Santos Laguna

(Away)
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1
Juarez
06 Sept
Cruz Azul
1 : 0
Santos Laguna
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
23 Aug
Puebla
3 : 2
Santos Laguna
17 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)