Sport Picks
Chicago Stars W vs Bay FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Martin Stadium, Evanston, IL 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Gasper A. In: Staab S.
Out: Gasper A.
50'
50'
Hutton C.
57'
57'
Sub
Joseph J. In: Swanson M.
Out: Joseph J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bay FC W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Bay FC W have won more games recently than Chicago Stars W.
- Bay FC W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chicago Stars W | Bay FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 21 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.36 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Bay FC W
0:0
May 24, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Chicago Stars W
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Bay FC W
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Chicago Stars W
1:2
Jun 8, 2024 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Bay FC W
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chicago Stars W 14 / 100
Bay FC W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chicago Stars W Bay FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bay FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bay FC W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Away concern: Bay FC W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Chicago Stars W scored in 36% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Chicago Stars W VS Bay FC W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chicago Stars W
(Home) 04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1 Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Washington Spirit W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
23 Aug
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2 Racing Louisville W
09 Aug
Chicago Stars W
0 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 3
Bay FC W
(Away) 03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Bay FC W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
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03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Bay FC W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
30 Aug
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Bay FC W
15 Aug
Utah Royals W
3 : 2 Bay FC W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
