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Chicago Stars W vs Denver Summit W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women Martin Stadium, Evanston, IL
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Match Events

8' Event
Sonis J.
Assist: Regan E.
20'
Alozie M.
26' Event
Heaps L.
Assist: Sonis J.

AI Match Summary

Denver Summit W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denver Summit W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Chicago Stars W
30%
Draws
62%
Denver Summit W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Denver Summit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Denver Summit W lately — more wins on the board than Chicago Stars W.
  • Win probability leans Denver Summit W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%
Denver Summit W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Stars W Denver Summit W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.59 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Denver Summit W
0:3
Aug 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Denver Summit W vs Chicago Stars W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Stars W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Denver Summit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Heaps L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sonis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
Denver Summit W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Stars W Denver Summit W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denver Summit W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Denver Summit W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Chicago Stars W scored in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Chicago Stars W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Stars W VS Denver Summit W
0.63 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Stars W

(Home)
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

Denver Summit W

(Away)
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Kansas City Current W
4 : 1
Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1
Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
12 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 3
Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)