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Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women Martin Stadium, Evanston, IL
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chicago Stars W host Houston Dash W in the NWSL Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Chicago Stars W have averaged 0.57 scored and 2.36 conceded recently, against Houston Dash W's 1.2 scored and 1.43 conceded. Head-to-head, Chicago Stars W have won 2 to Houston Dash W's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2026, ending 5:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.25) point toward Houston Dash W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Chicago Stars W
20%
Draws
64%
Houston Dash W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Houston Dash W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Houston Dash W have won more games recently than Chicago Stars W.
  • Model gives Houston Dash W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Stars W Houston Dash W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.57 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.36 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Chicago Stars W
5:0
Sep 20, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Chicago Stars W
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W
1:2
Oct 5, 2024 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs Chicago Stars W
0:2
Jul 6, 2024 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Houston Dash W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
Houston Dash W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Stars W Houston Dash W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Houston Dash W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Houston Dash W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Houston Dash W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Chicago Stars W found the back of the net in 36% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Chicago Stars W VS Houston Dash W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Stars W

(Home)
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

Houston Dash W

(Away)
04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3
Washington Spirit W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2
Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1
Utah Royals W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)