Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Stars W vs Palmeiras W

World World

Club Friendly Women 2025 CPKC Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Brena Carolina

AI Match Summary

Palmeiras W in this Club Friendly Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palmeiras W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Chicago Stars W
11%
Draws
80%
Palmeiras W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Palmeiras W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras W lately — more wins on the board than Chicago Stars W.
  • Palmeiras W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Stars W Palmeiras W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Chicago Stars W vs Palmeiras W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Stars W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brena Carolina
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
Palmeiras W 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Stars W Palmeiras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Stars W's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Palmeiras W let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Chicago Stars W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Stars W VS Palmeiras W
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Stars W

(Home)
18 Jul
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2
Angel City W
11 Jul
Boston Legacy W
2 : 0
Chicago Stars W
05 Jul
Chicago Stars W
3 : 2
Utah Royals W
31 May
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2
San Diego Wave W
24 May
Bay FC W
0 : 1
Chicago Stars W
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Palmeiras W

(Away)
18 Jul
Palmeiras W
1 : 0
Sao Paulo W
12 Jul
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Palmeiras W
09 Jul
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Paraguay W
30 May
Palmeiras W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
24 May
Bragantino W
1 : 2
Palmeiras W
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