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Chichester City vs Canvey Island

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Kwabena Y.
55' Event
Rowlatt L.
71' Event
Bello I.

AI Match Summary

Chichester City host Canvey Island in the Isthmian League Premier Division. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Canvey Island have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Chichester City have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Chichester City slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.38, favoring Chichester City. Chichester City in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Chichester City
11%
Draws
9%
Canvey Island
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Chichester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Chichester City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Canvey Island.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Chichester City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Isthmian League Premier Division provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 17%
Canvey Island Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chichester City Canvey Island
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Chichester City
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chichester City vs Canvey Island
3:0
Nov 2, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Chichester City
2:3
Aug 10, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chichester City vs Canvey Island
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chichester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowlatt L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bello I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Canvey Island Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chichester City 75 / 100
Canvey Island 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chichester City Canvey Island

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chichester City scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Canvey Island let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Chichester City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Canvey Island lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chichester City VS Canvey Island
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Folkestone422994102:4096
2Aveley422412690:5184
3Billericay422410881:4882
4Chatham422471183:3579
5Brentwood422461284:6678
6Dartford4220121081:5572
7Cray Wanderers421716979:7167
8Burgess Hill422071576:8167
9Dulwich Hamlet4217111461:5362
10Ramsgate4215121573:6857
11St. Albans421681871:5956
12Chichester City4214131557:6355
13Cheshunt4212141665:7050
14Whitehawk4212131758:7249
15Welling421532454:7548
16Wingate & Finchley4212102055:6746
17Lewes421372247:8346
18Carshalton4210141861:7344
19Cray Valley421192254:8042
20Hashtag421192260:8742
21Potters42933046:9430
22Canvey Island42692740:8727