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Chichester City vs Hanworth Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Vaughan H.
32' Event
Bridle H.
70' Event
Harding M.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Chichester City and Hanworth Villa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hanworth Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Chichester City
20%
Draws
38%
Hanworth Villa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chichester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hanworth Villa come out ahead of Chichester City on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chichester City's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 17%
Hanworth Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chichester City Hanworth Villa
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.81 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chichester City vs Hanworth Villa
1:2
Sep 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chichester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bridle H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Hanworth Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaughan H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Harding M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chichester City 66 / 100
Hanworth Villa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chichester City Hanworth Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chichester City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chichester City scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Hanworth Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chichester City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chichester City VS Hanworth Villa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chichester City

(Home)
31 Oct
Frome Town
2 : 3
Chichester City
27 Oct
Chichester City
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
24 Oct
Gosport Borough
0 : 2
Chichester City
20 Oct
Chichester City
3 : 1
Berkhamsted Town
17 Oct
Bracknell Town
1 : 0
Chichester City
Page 1 of 6

Hanworth Villa

(Away)
31 Oct
Hanworth Villa
4 : 2
Plymouth Parkway
27 Oct
Chichester City
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
24 Oct
Enfield Town
5 : 1
Hanworth Villa
20 Oct
Hanworth Villa
1 : 1
Chippenham Town
17 Oct
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 2
Hanworth Villa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uxbridge 14 10 2 2 28:11 32
2 Poole Town 15 10 1 4 27:16 31
3 Hanworth Villa 15 9 3 3 31:18 30
4 Plymouth Parkway 15 9 2 4 32:19 29
5 Bath City 14 9 2 3 20:10 29
6 Chertsey Town 15 7 5 3 33:24 26
7 Chichester City 15 8 1 6 27:25 25
8 Gosport Borough 15 7 3 5 25:20 24
9 Wimborne 13 6 4 3 22:9 22
10 Taunton Town 13 6 1 6 32:26 19
11 Frome Town 14 5 4 5 22:19 19
12 Berkhamsted Town 14 5 3 6 18:20 18
13 Sholing 13 4 4 5 18:20 16
14 Evesham 15 5 1 9 20:32 16
15 Basingstoke 15 4 3 8 24:31 15
16 Hanwell Town 14 3 5 6 18:21 14
17 Yate 14 3 5 6 16:27 14
18 Bracknell Town 16 4 2 10 17:35 14
19 Havant & Waterlooville 15 3 3 9 20:32 12
20 Chippenham Town 14 3 3 8 15:29 12
21 Gloucester City 12 2 5 5 17:21 11
22 Malvern Town 14 3 2 9 21:38 11
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)