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Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Garside R.
42' Event
Davidson R.
59' Event
Chebby B.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Chichester City and Plymouth Parkway finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chichester City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chichester City
20%
Draws
57%
Plymouth Parkway
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plymouth Parkway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chichester City haven't matched Plymouth Parkway's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chichester City a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 13%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chichester City Plymouth Parkway
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 10 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.73 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chichester City vs Plymouth Parkway
3:1
Oct 26, 2024 FA Trophy
Plymouth Parkway vs Chichester City
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chichester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Davidson R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chebby B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Top Goalscorer Garside R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chichester City 35 / 100
Plymouth Parkway 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chichester City Plymouth Parkway

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chichester City scored in 88% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Plymouth Parkway's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Chichester City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chichester City VS Plymouth Parkway
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chichester City

(Home)
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
26 Sept
Thame United
1 : 2
Chichester City
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 3
SE Dons
12 Sept
Uxbridge
5 : 0
Chichester City
Page 1 of 6

Plymouth Parkway

(Away)
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Horsham FC
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
0 : 3
Bath City
22 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Frome Town
19 Sept
Frome Town
0 : 2
Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)