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Chichester City vs Wingate & Finchley

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chichester City play Wingate & Finchley in the Isthmian League Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chichester City averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Wingate & Finchley averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Chichester City won 1, Wingate & Finchley won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Chichester City and 1.44 for Wingate & Finchley. This points to a Chichester City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chichester City
35%
Draws
28%
Wingate & Finchley
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chichester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Chichester City picked up more points recently compared to Wingate & Finchley.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 16%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chichester City Wingate & Finchley
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chichester City vs Wingate & Finchley
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Chichester City
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chichester City vs Wingate & Finchley
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Chichester City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chichester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Wild J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Obodo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Wingate & Finchley Compare

Top Goalscorer Botti G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cracknell B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chichester City 37 / 100
Wingate & Finchley 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chichester City Wingate & Finchley

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chichester City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chichester City attacking → ← attacking Wingate & Finchley

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chichester City scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Wingate & Finchley let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Chichester City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Wingate & Finchley lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 31
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Folkestone422994102:4096
2Aveley422412690:5184
3Billericay422410881:4882
4Chatham422471183:3579
5Brentwood422461284:6678
6Dartford4220121081:5572
7Cray Wanderers421716979:7167
8Burgess Hill422071576:8167
9Dulwich Hamlet4217111461:5362
10Ramsgate4215121573:6857
11St. Albans421681871:5956
12Chichester City4214131557:6355
13Cheshunt4212141665:7050
14Whitehawk4212131758:7249
15Welling421532454:7548
16Wingate & Finchley4212102055:6746
17Lewes421372247:8346
18Carshalton4210141861:7344
19Cray Valley421192254:8042
20Hashtag421192260:8742
21Potters42933046:9430
22Canvey Island42692740:8727