Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chico vs Alianza

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chico host Alianza in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chico have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Alianza's 1.13 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Chico slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.13, favoring Alianza. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Chico
20%
Draws
38%
Alianza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza come out ahead of Chico on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chico a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Chico Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Alianza
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Primera A
Alianza vs Chico
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Chico
2:0
May 18, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Alianza
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 Primera A
Alianza vs Chico
4:0
Feb 19, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Alianza
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 42 / 100
Alianza 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Alianza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Chico went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chico scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Alianza
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
27 May
Chico
0 : 1
Llaneros
23 May
Millonarios
2 : 2
Chico
16 May
Chico
4 : 0
Atletico F.C.
07 May
Patriotas
0 : 0
Chico
02 May
Chico
3 : 0
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

Alianza

(Away)
26 Jul
Alianza
1 : 1
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
24 May
Alianza
2 : 1
Bucaramanga
21 May
Dep. Cali
1 : 0
Alianza
16 May
Alianza
3 : 0
Real Santander
08 May
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Once Caldas11005:13
2America De Cali11002:03
3Dep. Cali11002:03
4Ind. Medellin11003:23
5Deportes Tolima11002:13
6Aguilas Doradas11002:13
7Bucaramanga11001:03
8Llaneros11001:03
9Alianza10101:11
10Fortaleza C.E.I.F.10101:11
11Chico00000:00
12Atl. Nacional00000:00
13Dep. Pasto10012:30
14Santa Fe10011:20
15Junior10011:20
16Millonarios10010:10
17Dep. Pereira10010:10
18Inter Bogotá10010:20
19Jaguares de Cordoba10010:20
20Cucuta10011:50
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)