Sport Picks

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Chico vs Alianza

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Wed, Sep 16, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chico host Alianza in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chico have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.56 conceded recently, against Alianza's 0.83 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Chico slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring Chico. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Chico
30%
Draws
12%
Alianza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chico come out ahead of Alianza on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chico a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Chico Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Alianza
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.93 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Primera A
Alianza vs Chico
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Chico
2:0
May 18, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Alianza
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 Primera A
Alianza vs Chico
4:0
Feb 19, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Alianza
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 85 / 100
Alianza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Alianza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Chico went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alianza lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Alianza
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0
Once Caldas
30 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Chico
26 Aug
Chico
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
21 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 0
Chico
08 Aug
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Chico
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Alianza

(Away)
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Alianza
03 Sept
America De Cali
3 : 0
Alianza
30 Aug
Alianza
1 : 5
Atl. Nacional
26 Aug
Cucuta
1 : 0
Alianza
22 Aug
Alianza
0 : 0
Dep. Pereira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 8 6 2 0 20:4 20
2 Deportes Tolima 8 5 1 2 12:9 16
3 Ind. Medellin 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
4 Santa Fe 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
5 Millonarios 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
6 Atl. Nacional 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
7 Llaneros 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
8 Aguilas Doradas 6 2 4 0 10:8 10
9 Bucaramanga 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
10 Once Caldas 7 2 3 2 11:9 9
11 Dep. Cali 7 2 3 2 9:7 9
12 Cucuta 8 2 3 3 8:13 9
13 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
14 Inter Bogotá 8 1 5 2 8:10 8
15 Jaguares de Cordoba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
16 Dep. Pereira 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
17 Chico 6 1 2 3 4:12 5
18 Junior 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
19 Dep. Pasto 8 0 2 6 7:15 2
20 Alianza 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)