Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chico vs Alianza

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Alomia J.
9' Event
Pardo F.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Quinones D.
Assist: Pardo F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Chico and Alianza finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alianza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Chico
20%
Draws
34%
Alianza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chico come out ahead of Alianza on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chico a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Chico Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Alianza
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.96 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Alianza
1:2
Jan 28, 2026 Primera A
Alianza vs Chico
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Chico
2:0
May 18, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Alianza
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 Primera A
Alianza vs Chico
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chico Compare

Top Goalscorer Alomia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinones D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 95 / 100
Alianza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Alianza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alianza let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Chico went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alianza lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Alianza
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0
Once Caldas
30 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Chico
26 Aug
Chico
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
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Alianza

(Away)
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0
Junior
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Alianza
03 Sept
America De Cali
3 : 0
Alianza
30 Aug
Alianza
1 : 5
Atl. Nacional
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 9 6 2 1 20:5 20
2 Atl. Nacional 7 6 0 1 17:6 18
3 Ind. Medellin 8 5 1 2 15:10 16
4 Millonarios 10 4 4 2 12:8 16
5 Deportes Tolima 9 5 1 3 12:10 16
6 Bucaramanga 8 3 5 0 12:8 14
7 Santa Fe 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
8 Dep. Cali 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
9 Once Caldas 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
10 Llaneros 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
11 Inter Bogotá 10 2 5 3 13:15 11
12 Aguilas Doradas 7 2 4 1 10:10 10
13 Cucuta 9 2 3 4 9:15 9
14 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
15 Alianza 9 2 2 5 8:16 8
16 Chico 8 2 2 4 7:15 8
17 Jaguares de Cordoba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Dep. Pereira 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
19 Dep. Pasto 9 1 2 6 8:15 5
20 Junior 7 0 3 4 8:13 3
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)