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Stadium Background

Chico vs Cucuta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
01:10 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chico host Cucuta in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chico have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Cucuta's 1.07 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Cucuta slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.00) point toward Chico. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chico
20%
Draws
40%
Cucuta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chico a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Chico Clean Sheet 20%
Cucuta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Cucuta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Primera A
Cucuta vs Chico
1:0
Aug 9, 2022 Primera B
Cucuta vs Chico
1:2
Sep 27, 2020 Primera A
Chico vs Cucuta
0:2
Sep 6, 2020 Primera A
Cucuta vs Chico
0:0
May 11, 2018 Copa Colombia
Cucuta vs Chico
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 36 / 100
Cucuta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Cucuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cucuta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Chico went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Chico scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Cucuta
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0
Chico
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
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Cucuta

(Away)
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1
Llaneros
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0
Cucuta
14 Sept
Cucuta
1 : 2
Millonarios
05 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 2
Dep. Pasto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
4 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 12 1 7 4 13:18 10
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)