Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chico vs Dep. Cali

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Giraldo D.
6'
Molina J.
33'
Salazar S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Chico and Dep. Cali finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chico
35%
Draws
18%
Dep. Cali
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Cali carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chico's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Chico Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Dep. Cali
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.96 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Cali
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Cali
0:0
Jun 14, 2025 Copa Colombia
Chico vs Dep. Cali
1:0
Mar 10, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Chico
0:0
Aug 11, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Cali
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chico Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Dep. Cali Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 95 / 100
Dep. Cali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Dep. Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cali let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Chico stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Chico scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Dep. Cali
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0
Once Caldas
30 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Chico
26 Aug
Chico
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
21 Aug
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 0
Chico
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Dep. Cali

(Away)
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0
Dep. Cali
31 Aug
Dep. Cali
1 : 1
Bucaramanga
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional
2 : 1
Dep. Cali
23 Aug
Dep. Cali
2 : 2
Inter Bogotá
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 40
2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
3 Dep. Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 34
4 America De Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 33
5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 33
6 Deportes Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 31
7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 29
8 Inter Bogotá 19 7 7 5 26:26 28
9 Dep. Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 27
10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 26
11 Ind. Medellin 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
12 Aguilas Doradas 19 7 5 7 20:25 26
13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 23
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 22
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 19 5 7 7 22:27 22
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 19 5 3 11 20:33 18
17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 17
18 Chico 19 5 2 12 15:32 17
19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 16
20 Dep. Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 10
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)