Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chico vs Dep. Pasto

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Our Tip

Match Events

55'
Sub
Osede D. In: Perlaza J.
Out: Osede D.
59'
Sub
Pimentel J. In: Cabrera Y.
Out: Pimentel J.
68' Event
Cabrera Y.
Assist: Mera S.

AI Match Summary

Chico in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chico
15%
Draws
37%
Dep. Pasto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Pasto average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Chico's 1.03.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Chico taking it.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Chico Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Dep. Pasto
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Pasto
3:0
Mar 18, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Chico
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Chico
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Pasto
2:2
Mar 22, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Dep. Pasto
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chico Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarria E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dep. Pasto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 86 / 100
Dep. Pasto 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Dep. Pasto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Pasto let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chico stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Chico's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Dep. Pasto
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0
Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Pasto

(Away)
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4
Ind. Medellin
05 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 2
Dep. Pasto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 11 7 3 1 22:6 24
2 Bucaramanga 10 5 5 0 17:9 20
3 Millonarios 12 5 5 2 16:9 20
4 Atl. Nacional 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
5 Ind. Medellin 10 6 1 3 17:13 19
6 Dep. Cali 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
7 Deportes Tolima 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
8 Santa Fe 10 4 4 2 16:11 16
9 Llaneros 11 4 2 5 14:14 14
10 Once Caldas 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
11 Inter Bogotá 12 2 6 4 13:17 12
12 Cucuta 11 3 3 5 11:19 12
13 Aguilas Doradas 9 2 5 2 12:13 11
14 Chico 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
15 Junior 9 2 3 4 14:14 9
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 10 1 5 4 11:16 8
17 Dep. Pereira 9 1 5 3 6:11 8
18 Dep. Pasto 11 2 2 7 9:18 8
19 Alianza 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 9 1 4 4 10:16 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)