Sport Picks
Chico vs Deportes Tolima
Colombia
Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja 
Match Events
29'
29'
Sub
Salazar S. In: Aedo A.
Out: Salazar S.
33'
33'
Valencia J.
39'
39'
Aedo A.
Assist: Ramirez Raigosa D. A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Deportes Tolima lately — more wins on the board than Chico.
- Chico are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Chico Clean Sheet 68%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chico | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.43 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.43 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 23, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Deportes Tolima
1:1
Sep 15, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Chico
4:0
Apr 2, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Deportes Tolima
1:4
Sep 14, 2024 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Chico
2:1
Mar 1, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Deportes Tolima
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chico Compare
Top Goalscorer Aedo A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Deportes Tolima Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreno Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chico 68 / 100
Deportes Tolima 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chico Deportes Tolima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Chico has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Deportes Tolima's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Chico found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Chico VS Deportes Tolima
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
0.43 Goals Conceded 1
43% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chico
(Home) 27 May
Chico
0 : 1 Llaneros
23 May
Millonarios
2 : 2 Chico
16 May
Chico
4 : 0 Atletico F.C.
07 May
Patriotas
0 : 0 Chico
02 May
Chico
3 : 0 Llaneros
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Chico
0 : 1 Llaneros
16 May
Chico
4 : 0 Atletico F.C.
02 May
Chico
3 : 0 Llaneros
17 Apr
Chico
1 : 0 Dep. Cali
02 Apr
Chico
1 : 0 Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 3
Deportes Tolima
(Away) 21 Jul
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Quindio
27 May
Universitario de Deportes
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
23 May
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Deportes Tolima
19 May
Coquimbo
3 : 0 Deportes Tolima
16 May
Deportes Tolima
0 : 1 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Universitario de Deportes
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
23 May
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Deportes Tolima
19 May
Coquimbo
3 : 0 Deportes Tolima
13 May
Dep. Pasto
0 : 2 Deportes Tolima
24 Apr
Millonarios
2 : 0 Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotá | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | 10 |
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)
