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Chico vs Ind. Medellin Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mera S.
Assist: Sarria E.
10'
Alomia J.
27' Event
Medina J.
Assist: Loboa H.

AI Match Summary

Chico in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Chico
30%
Draws
29%
Ind. Medellin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Chico haven't matched Ind. Medellin's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Chico Clean Sheet 16%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Ind. Medellin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Ind. Medellin
2:1
Apr 22, 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Chico
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Ind. Medellin
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Chico
3:0
Oct 26, 2024 Copa Colombia
Ind. Medellin vs Chico
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chico Compare

Top Goalscorer Mera S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maya A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ind. Medellin Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 36 / 100
Ind. Medellin 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Ind. Medellin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ind. Medellin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Medellin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Chico has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chico found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Ind. Medellin
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0
Chico
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
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Ind. Medellin

(Away)
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2
Millonarios
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2
Ind. Medellin
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
4 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
5 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
6 Ind. Medellin 11 6 2 3 19:15 20
7 Santa Fe 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
8 Deportes Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 12 1 7 4 13:18 10
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)