Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chico vs Millonarios

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Banguero A.
21'
Salazar S.
23'
Ruiz D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Chico and Millonarios finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Chico
20%
Draws
38%
Millonarios
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Millonarios come out ahead of Chico on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Chico taking it.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chico Clean Sheet 18%
Millonarios Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Millonarios
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Copa Colombia
Millonarios vs Chico
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Millonarios
2:1
Nov 13, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Millonarios
1:2
May 25, 2025 Primera A
Millonarios vs Chico
4:2
Nov 15, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Millonarios
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chico Compare

Top Goalscorer Banguero A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molina J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Millonarios Compare

Top Goalscorer Llinas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 41 / 100
Millonarios 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Millonarios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Millonarios's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Chico stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Millonarios lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Millonarios
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
27 May
Chico
0 : 1
Llaneros
23 May
Millonarios
2 : 2
Chico
16 May
Chico
4 : 0
Atletico F.C.
07 May
Patriotas
0 : 0
Chico
02 May
Chico
3 : 0
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

Millonarios

(Away)
18 Jul
Millonarios
0 : 1
Colo Colo
11 Jul
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 0
Millonarios
30 May
Atletico F.C.
1 : 8
Millonarios
26 May
Millonarios
1 : 2
O Higgins
23 May
Millonarios
2 : 2
Chico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)