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Chievo vs AC Leon

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Bolis T.
90' Event
El Kadiri Y.

AI Match Summary

AC Leon in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Leon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chievo
35%
Draws
14%
AC Leon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chievo have won more games recently than AC Leon.
  • Model gives Chievo a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chievo AC Leon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Chievo
2:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs AC Leon
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chievo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

AC Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolis T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Kadiri Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chievo 95 / 100
AC Leon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chievo AC Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chievo's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chievo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: AC Leon conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chievo VS AC Leon
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chievo

(Home)
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3
Chievo
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1
AC Milan U23
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1
Pavia
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2
Chievo
19 Apr
Chievo
2 : 2
Castellanzese
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AC Leon

(Away)
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0
AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0
AC Leon
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2
Chievo
19 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
AC Leon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)