Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chievo vs AC Milan U23

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Traore C.
20' Event
Sala E.
36' Event
Traore C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Chievo and AC Milan U23 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Milan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Chievo
20%
Draws
36%
AC Milan U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • AC Milan U23 haven't matched Chievo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors AC Milan U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Chievo Clean Sheet 10%
AC Milan U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chievo AC Milan U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs AC Milan U23
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs AC Milan U23
1:3
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
AC Milan U23 vs Chievo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugge M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

AC Milan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sala E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chievo 30 / 100
AC Milan U23 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chievo AC Milan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Milan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chievo found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

AC Milan U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chievo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chievo VS AC Milan U23
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chievo

(Home)
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3
Chievo
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1
AC Milan U23
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1
Pavia
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2
Chievo
19 Apr
Chievo
2 : 2
Castellanzese
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AC Milan U23

(Away)
02 Sept
Everton U21
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
04 Aug
Monza
4 : 2
AC Milan U23
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1
AC Milan U23
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1
Vogherese
26 Apr
Castellanzese
1 : 3
AC Milan U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)