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Chievo vs Ciserano-Bergamo Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bane A.
44' Event
Marin M.
60' Event
de Cerchio A.

AI Match Summary

Chievo in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chievo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chievo
30%
Draws
23%
Ciserano-Bergamo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chievo lately — more wins on the board than Ciserano-Bergamo.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Chievo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Chievo here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chievo Ciserano-Bergamo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.47 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Ciserano-Bergamo
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Chievo
0:2
Sep 25, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bane A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Cerchio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chievo 77 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chievo Ciserano-Bergamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chievo scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Ciserano-Bergamo let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Chievo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chievo VS Ciserano-Bergamo
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chievo

(Home)
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
12 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
3 : 4
Chievo
05 Sept
Chievo
1 : 0
Pavonese
Page 1 of 6

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Away)
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 5 5 0 0 7:1 15
2 Chievo 5 4 0 1 9:6 12
3 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
4 Brusaporto 5 3 0 2 7:7 9
5 Virtus Verona 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
6 Piacenza 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
7 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
8 Pro Palazzolo 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
9 AC Leon 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
11 Caldiero Terme 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
12 Villa Valle 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
13 Real Calepina 5 1 2 2 10:9 5
14 Scanzorosciate 5 1 2 2 5:4 5
15 Club Milano 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 5 0 3 2 8:11 3
17 Tritium 5 0 2 3 7:10 2
18 Fiorenzuola 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)