Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chievo vs Folgore Caratese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Gjonaj E.
50' Event
Samotti N.
63' Event
Gjonaj E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Chievo and Folgore Caratese finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Folgore Caratese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Chievo
35%
Draws
27%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chievo come out ahead of Folgore Caratese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chievo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chievo Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 11
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Folgore Caratese
1:4
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Chievo
1:2
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Folgore Caratese
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Chievo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Trillo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Folgore Caratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjonaj E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Samotti N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chievo 59 / 100
Folgore Caratese 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chievo Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chievo's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Chievo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Folgore Caratese let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chievo VS Folgore Caratese
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chievo

(Home)
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3
Chievo
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1
AC Milan U23
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1
Pavia
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2
Chievo
19 Apr
Chievo
2 : 2
Castellanzese
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Folgore Caratese

(Away)
31 Jul
Sassuolo
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
25 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 1
Folgore Caratese
17 May
Vado
3 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0
Treviso
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1
Sondrio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)