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Chievo vs Tritium - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Vuthaj D.
50' Event
de Cerchio A.
62' Event
Minessi A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Chievo and Tritium finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chievo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Chievo
20%
Draws
15%
Tritium
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Tritium haven't matched Chievo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chievo a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%
Tritium Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chievo Tritium
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 3
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.64 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Tritium
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuthaj D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Cerchio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Tritium Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chievo 95 / 100
Tritium 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chievo Tritium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chievo scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Tritium conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Chievo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chievo VS Tritium
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chievo

(Home)
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

Tritium

(Away)
07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1
Tritium
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2
Tritium
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)