Sport Picks
Chievo vs USD Casatese
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USD Casatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chievo lately — more wins on the board than USD Casatese.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Chievo Clean Sheet 19%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chievo | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Chievo
2:3
Jan 10, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs USD Casatese
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Chievo
1:3
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs USD Casatese
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Chievo
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chievo 32 / 100
USD Casatese 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chievo USD Casatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chievo found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Solid form: Chievo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
USD Casatese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Chievo VS USD Casatese
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chievo
(Home) 17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3 Chievo
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1 AC Milan U23
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1 Pavia
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2 Chievo
19 Apr
Chievo
2 : 2 Castellanzese
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1 AC Milan U23
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1 Pavia
19 Apr
Chievo
2 : 2 Castellanzese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1 Vogherese
21 Mar
Chievo
3 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 4
USD Casatese
(Away) 17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3 Chievo
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0 AC Leon
26 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 3 USD Casatese
19 Apr
USD Casatese
1 : 0 Pavia
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 3 USD Casatese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4 USD Casatese
29 Mar
Villa Valle
0 : 1 USD Casatese
15 Mar
Sondrio
2 : 1 USD Casatese
22 Feb
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 USD Casatese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
