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Chikhura Sachkhere vs Merani Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chikhura Sachkhere play Merani Tbilisi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2021. Merani Tbilisi are favorites here. Recently, Chikhura Sachkhere averaged 0.77 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. Merani Tbilisi averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Chikhura Sachkhere won 2, Merani Tbilisi won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 18, 2021 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Chikhura Sachkhere and 1.18 for Merani Tbilisi. This points to a Merani Tbilisi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Chikhura Sachkhere
15%
Draws
70%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chikhura Sachkhere picked up more points recently compared to Merani Tbilisi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Chikhura Sachkhere Clean Sheet 20%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chikhura Sachkhere Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 1 7
Losses 27 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.23
Goals Conceded 3.37 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2021 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Chikhura Sachkhere vs Merani Tbilisi
3:2
Aug 6, 2021 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Chikhura Sachkhere
2:1
May 10, 2021 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Chikhura Sachkhere vs Merani Tbilisi
1:5
Mar 15, 2021 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Chikhura Sachkhere
2:0
Nov 22, 2020 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Merani Tbilisi vs Chikhura Sachkhere
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chikhura Sachkhere Compare

Top Goalscorer Sharvadze V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tutashvili N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasrelishvili J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Deisadze I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chikhura Sachkhere 18 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chikhura Sachkhere Merani Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Merani Tbilisi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chikhura Sachkhere attacking → ← attacking Merani Tbilisi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chikhura Sachkhere scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Merani Tbilisi let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Chikhura Sachkhere went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Merani Tbilisi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 40
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bolnisi36263774:3681
2Gagra36229574:2775
3Merani Martvili361971065:4464
4FC Gareji Sagarejo361551652:4850
5Merani Tbilisi3612111358:5847
6Shevardeni Tbilisi3612101463:5846
7FC Zugdidi361441847:7146
8WIT Georgia3610151138:4345
9FC Rustavi361161946:5839
10Chikhura Sachkhere36243024:9810