Sport Picks

Georgia

Liga 3 2022

Meshakhte Tkibuli

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chikhura Sachkhere play Meshakhte Tkibuli in the Liga 3 2022. Meshakhte Tkibuli are favorites here. Recently, Chikhura Sachkhere averaged 0.77 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. Meshakhte Tkibuli averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Chikhura Sachkhere won 1, Meshakhte Tkibuli won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 7, 2023 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Chikhura Sachkhere and 0.80 for Meshakhte Tkibuli. This points to a Meshakhte Tkibuli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%

Chikhura Sachkhere

15%

Draws

68%

Meshakhte Tkibuli

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Meshakhte Tkibuli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence

Chikhura Sachkhere picked up more points recently compared to Meshakhte Tkibuli.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Chikhura Sachkhere Clean Sheet 26%

Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chikhura Sachkhere	Meshakhte Tkibuli
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	2	8
Draws	1	10
Losses	27	13
Goals Scored	0.77	1.1
Goals Conceded	3.37	1.48

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2023 Liga 3

Chikhura Sachkhere vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

1:5

Jun 11, 2023 Liga 3

Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Chikhura Sachkhere

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

4:0

Nov 11, 2022 Liga 3

Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Chikhura Sachkhere

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

6:0

Jun 19, 2022 Liga 3

Chikhura Sachkhere vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Possession: 60% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

1:4

Mar 9, 2011 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2

Chikhura Sachkhere vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chikhura Sachkhere 21 / 100

Meshakhte Tkibuli 64 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chikhura Sachkhere Meshakhte Tkibuli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Meshakhte Tkibuli Win (2)

Secondary Pick Meshakhte Tkibuli & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +88.9%

11.11

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chikhura Sachkhere attacking → ← attacking Meshakhte Tkibuli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chikhura Sachkhere scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Meshakhte Tkibuli let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Chikhura Sachkhere went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Meshakhte Tkibuli lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 34

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dinamo Tbilisi 2	30	22	5	3	72:22	71
2	Kolkheti 1913	30	21	6	3	76:29	69
3	Dusheti	30	16	9	5	56:25	57
4	FC Kolkheti Khobi	30	15	9	6	53:32	54
5	FC Tbilisi 2025	30	14	9	7	65:43	51
6	Gori	30	15	5	10	58:38	50
7	Iberia 1999 2	30	13	4	13	46:44	43
8	Borjomi	30	12	5	13	47:40	41
9	Orbi	30	11	6	13	49:52	39
10	Bakhmaro Chokhatauri	30	10	8	12	38:42	38
11	Tbilisi City	30	11	5	14	38:48	38
12	Guria	30	11	4	15	42:49	37
13	FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II	30	11	4	15	37:50	37
14	Meshakhte Tkibuli	30	10	5	15	35:39	35
15	Zestafoni	30	4	3	23	18:77	15
16	Chikhura Sachkhere	30	0	1	29	19:119	1