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Chile U17 vs Italy U18

World World

Friendly International
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chile U17 host Italy U18 in the Friendly International. This one's hard to separate. Italy U18 have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Chile U17 have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.28. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.38) point toward Italy U18. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Chile U17
15%
Draws
26%
Italy U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Chile U17 average 1.28 goals a game right now, well clear of Italy U18's 1.07.
  • Win probability leans Chile U17's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Chile U17 Clean Sheet 17%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U17 Italy U18
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U17 66 / 100
Italy U18 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U17 Italy U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U17's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Italy U18 conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Chile U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Italy U18 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chile U17 VS Italy U18
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U17

(Home)
18 Apr
Uruguay U17
2 : 3
Chile U17
16 Apr
Bolivia U17
0 : 4
Chile U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
09 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
07 Apr
Colombia U17
1 : 0
Chile U17
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Italy U18

(Away)
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
24 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Algeria U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
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