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Chile U17 vs Japan U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Predio Lionel Andres Messi, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Saito K.
28' Event
Barrera B.
81' Event
Erazo D.

AI Match Summary

Chile U17 in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chile U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Chile U17
15%
Draws
53%
Japan U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Japan U17 lately — more wins on the board than Chile U17.
  • Japan U17 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chile U17 Clean Sheet 11%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U17 Japan U17
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.22 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Friendly International
Chile U17 vs Japan U17
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrera B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erazo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Japan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saito K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U17 10 / 100
Japan U17 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U17 Japan U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U17's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Japan U17 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Chile U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chile U17 VS Japan U17
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U17

(Home)
26 Sept
Chile U17
1 : 2
Italy U18
18 Apr
Uruguay U17
2 : 3
Chile U17
16 Apr
Bolivia U17
0 : 4
Chile U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
09 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
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Japan U17

(Away)
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
Japan U17
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U17
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Indonesia U17
09 May
China U17
1 : 2
Japan U17
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