Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chile U17 vs Peru U17

South America South America

South American Championship U17 2025 Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Cuevas Y.
(Penalty)
24' Event
Orellana M.
39'
Sub
Hurtado J. In: Ojeda J.
Out: Hurtado J.

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship U17 2025 game between Chile U17 and Peru U17 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chile U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chile U17
15%
Draws
0%
Peru U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chile U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chile U17 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U17 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Chile U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Peru U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U17 Peru U17
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.39 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2025 South American Championship U17
Chile U17 vs Peru U17
5:0
Jan 19, 2025 Friendly International
Chile U17 vs Peru U17
3:1
Apr 6, 2019 South American Championship U17
Peru U17 vs Chile U17
2:3
Mar 22, 2019 South American Championship U17
Peru U17 vs Chile U17
0:0
Apr 9, 2013 South American Championship U17
Chile U17 vs Peru U17
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Olguin A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Orellana M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Peru U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U17 85 / 100
Peru U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U17 Peru U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Peru U17 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Chile U17 scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chile U17 VS Peru U17
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U17

(Home)
18 Apr
Uruguay U17
2 : 3
Chile U17
16 Apr
Bolivia U17
0 : 4
Chile U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
09 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
07 Apr
Colombia U17
1 : 0
Chile U17
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Peru U17

(Away)
10 Apr
Venezuela U17
1 : 0
Peru U17
08 Apr
Bolivia U17
2 : 0
Peru U17
06 Apr
Peru U17
1 : 4
Brazil U17
04 Apr
Peru U17
1 : 4
Argentina U17
02 Apr
Argentina U17
5 : 0
Peru U17
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U17 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
2 Chile U17 4 3 0 1 9:3 9
3 Argentina U17 4 2 0 2 12:6 6
4 Paraguay U17 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
5 Peru U17 4 0 0 4 0:17 0
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U17 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Venezuela U17 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Ecuador U17 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Bolivia U17 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Uruguay U17 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship U17 2025 (5th-8th places)