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Stadium Background

Chile U20 vs Japan U20

World World

World Cup U20 Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Takaoka R.
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Hiraga S. In: Ishii H.
Out: Hiraga S.
46'
Sub
Sandoval M. In: Moya F.
Out: Sandoval M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chile U20
20%
Draws
57%
Japan U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Japan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Chile U20 haven't matched Japan U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Japan U20 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Japan U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Chile U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Japan U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U20 Japan U20
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 World Cup U20
Chile U20 vs Japan U20
0:2
May 24, 2008 Maurice Revello Tournament
Chile U20 vs Japan U20
2:0
Apr 14, 1995 World Cup U20
Chile U20 vs Japan U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Japan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yokoyama Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U20 11 / 100
Japan U20 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U20 Japan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U20's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Japan U20 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chile U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chile U20 VS Japan U20
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U20

(Home)
06 Jun
Chile U20
0 : 1
Brazil U20
31 Mar
Chile U20
1 : 1
Peru U20
29 Mar
Chile U20
2 : 1
Peru U20
07 Oct
Chile U20
1 : 4
Mexico U20
03 Oct
Egypt U20
2 : 1
Chile U20
Page 1 of 6

Japan U20

(Away)
31 Aug
Japan U20
4 : 0
Kuwait U20
11 Jun
Venezuela U20
0 : 1
Japan U20
06 Jun
Japan U20
1 : 0
Canada U20
03 Jun
Japan U20
1 : 4
Portugal U20
01 Jun
Japan U20
3 : 3
Ivory Coast U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Chile U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
3 Egypt U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 New Zealand U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U20 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Paraguay U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 South Korea U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Panama U20 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Mexico U20 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Spain U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Brazil U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Italy U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Australia U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Cuba U20 3 0 1 2 4:8 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
2 South Africa U20 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 France U20 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
4 New Caledonia U20 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Norway U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Saudi Arabia U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams