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Chile U20 vs New Zealand U20

World World

Friendly International 2025 Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Silva J.
48' Event
Rossel J.
53' Event
Bulkeley J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Chile U20 and New Zealand U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chile U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Chile U20
22%
Draws
18%
New Zealand U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chile U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Zealand U20 come out ahead of Chile U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chile U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Chile U20 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Chile U20 Clean Sheet 18%
New Zealand U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U20 New Zealand U20
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 World Cup U20
Chile U20 vs New Zealand U20
2:1
Jun 7, 2025 Friendly International
Chile U20 vs New Zealand U20
2:1
Jun 4, 2025 Friendly International
Chile U20 vs New Zealand U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

New Zealand U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bulkeley J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U20 58 / 100
New Zealand U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U20 New Zealand U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U20 scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

New Zealand U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Away concern: New Zealand U20 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chile U20 VS New Zealand U20
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 20%