Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chile U20 vs Peru U20

South America South America

South American Championship U20 Estadio Metropolitano de Cabudare, Barquisimeto
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.
Assist: Loyola F.
21'
Sub
Astudillo J. In: Soyer B.
Out: Astudillo J.
25' Event
Soyer B.
Assist: Rodriguez J.

AI Match Summary

Chile U20 in this South American Championship U20 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chile U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Chile U20
20%
Draws
16%
Peru U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chile U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chile U20 have won more games recently than Peru U20.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Chile U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Chile U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Peru U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U20 Peru U20
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 3
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.21 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Chile U20 vs Peru U20
1:1
Mar 29, 2026 Friendly International
Chile U20 vs Peru U20
2:1
Jan 27, 2025 South American Championship U20
Chile U20 vs Peru U20
3:2
Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
Chile U20 vs Peru U20
3:0
Nov 17, 2024 Friendly International
Chile U20 vs Peru U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossel J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Peru U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soyer B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goicochea Del Carpio J. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U20 32 / 100
Peru U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U20 Peru U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U20's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Peru U20 let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Peru U20 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chile U20 VS Peru U20
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U20

(Home)
06 Jun
Chile U20
0 : 1
Brazil U20
31 Mar
Chile U20
1 : 1
Peru U20
29 Mar
Chile U20
2 : 1
Peru U20
07 Oct
Chile U20
1 : 4
Mexico U20
03 Oct
Egypt U20
2 : 1
Chile U20
Page 1 of 6

Peru U20

(Away)
31 Mar
Chile U20
1 : 1
Peru U20
29 Mar
Chile U20
2 : 1
Peru U20
29 Jan
Uruguay U20
2 : 0
Peru U20
27 Jan
Chile U20
3 : 2
Peru U20
25 Jan
Peru U20
0 : 4
Venezuela U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U20 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Paraguay U20 4 3 0 1 5:8 9
3 Chile U20 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
4 Venezuela U20 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
5 Peru U20 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Argentina U20 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Brazil U20 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
4 Ecuador U20 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Bolivia U20 4 0 0 4 4:8 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)