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Stadium Background

Chile U20 vs Uruguay U20

South America South America

South American Championship U20 Estadio Metropolitano de Cabudare, Barquisimeto
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Machado R.
Assist: Helguera T.
16' Event
Ramos Aviles E. M.
56'
Sub
Aravena B. In: Rossel J.
Out: Aravena B.

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship U20 game between Chile U20 and Uruguay U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uruguay U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Chile U20
20%
Draws
16%
Uruguay U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chile U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uruguay U20 come out ahead of Chile U20 on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Chile U20 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Chile U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Uruguay U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U20 Uruguay U20
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2025 South American Championship U20
Chile U20 vs Uruguay U20
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 South American Championship U20
Chile U20 vs Uruguay U20
1:2
Jan 22, 2023 South American Championship U20
Chile U20 vs Uruguay U20
0:3
Dec 16, 2022 Friendly International
Uruguay U20 vs Chile U20
2:0
Dec 14, 2022 Friendly International
Uruguay U20 vs Chile U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos Aviles E. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Uruguay U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U20 36 / 100
Uruguay U20 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U20 Uruguay U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U20 scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Uruguay U20 conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Uruguay U20's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chile U20 VS Uruguay U20
1 Goals Scored 0.4
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 20%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U20

(Home)
06 Jun
Chile U20
0 : 1
Brazil U20
31 Mar
Chile U20
1 : 1
Peru U20
29 Mar
Chile U20
2 : 1
Peru U20
07 Oct
Chile U20
1 : 4
Mexico U20
03 Oct
Egypt U20
2 : 1
Chile U20
Page 1 of 6

Uruguay U20

(Away)
27 Aug
Uruguay U20
2 : 3
Paraguay U20
25 Aug
Uruguay U20
0 : 2
Paraguay U20
16 Feb
Uruguay U20
1 : 3
Colombia U20
13 Feb
Paraguay U20
1 : 0
Uruguay U20
11 Feb
Chile U20
1 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U20 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Paraguay U20 4 3 0 1 5:8 9
3 Chile U20 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
4 Venezuela U20 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
5 Peru U20 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Argentina U20 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Brazil U20 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
4 Ecuador U20 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Bolivia U20 4 0 0 4 4:8 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)