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Chile U21 vs Mexico U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Toulon Tournament 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Bravo C.
22' Event
Marin H.
29'
Caroca I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Toulon Tournament 2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Chile U21
35%
Draws
50%
Mexico U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mexico U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mexico U21 lately — more wins on the board than Chile U21.
  • Mexico U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Toulon Tournament 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Chile U21 Clean Sheet 22%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U21 Mexico U21
Matches Played 10 33
Wins 2 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.8 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2014 Maurice Revello Tournament
Chile U21 vs Mexico U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bravo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Mexico U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trevino C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U21 10 / 100
Mexico U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U21 Mexico U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U21 scored in 80% of their last 10 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mexico U21 let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Chile U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mexico U21
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U21

(Home)
01 Sept
France U21
1 : 1
Chile U21
27 May
Chile U21
2 : 2
Mexico U21
25 May
China U21
3 : 3
Chile U21
23 May
Portugal U21
3 : 1
Chile U21
21 May
France U21
3 : 0
Chile U21
Page 1 of 2

Mexico U21

(Away)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Portugal U21 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 Mexico U21 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
4 China U21 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
5 Chile U21 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U21 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 England U21 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
3 South Korea U21 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
4 Colombia U21 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
5 Qatar U21 4 0 2 2 2:12 2
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)