Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chile U23 vs Brazil U23

World World

Pan American Games Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar
Sat, Nov 4, 2023
1 - 2
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Guerrero Pena M. G.
Assist: Pizarro V.
83' Event
Cardoso R.
1' Event
Matheus Nascimento
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chile U23
15%
Draws
34%
Brazil U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brazil U23 lately — more wins on the board than Chile U23.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Brazil U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brazil U23, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Brazil U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chile U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Brazil U23 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U23 Brazil U23
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 15 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.15 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 Pan American Games
Chile U23 vs Brazil U23
1:2
Sep 9, 2019 Friendly International
Brazil U23 vs Chile U23
3:1
Mar 16, 1995 Pan American Games
Brazil U23 vs Chile U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero Pena M. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Brazil U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardoso R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U23 32 / 100
Brazil U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U23 Brazil U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chile U23 scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Brazil U23 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chile U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chile U23 VS Brazil U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U23

(Home)
02 Feb
Chile U23
2 : 1
Paraguay U23
30 Jan
Chile U23
0 : 5
Argentina U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
12 Jan
Chile U23
3 : 0
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 6

Brazil U23

(Away)
11 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Argentina U23
08 Feb
Venezuela U23
1 : 2
Brazil U23
05 Feb
Brazil U23
0 : 1
Paraguay U23
01 Feb
Venezuela U23
3 : 1
Brazil U23
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Chile U23 1
USA U23 0
Brazil U23 1
Mexico U23 0
Final
Chile U23 1
Brazil U23 2
USA U23 1
Mexico U23 4