Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chile U23 vs USA U23

World World

Pan American Games Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Perez C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chile U23
15%
Draws
37%
USA U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • USA U23 haven't matched Chile U23's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Chile U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chile U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Chile U23 Clean Sheet 27%
USA U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U23 USA U23
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2023 Pan American Games
Chile U23 vs USA U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

USA U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U23 38 / 100
USA U23 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U23 USA U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U23 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

USA U23 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Chile U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chile U23 VS USA U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U23

(Home)
02 Feb
Chile U23
2 : 1
Paraguay U23
30 Jan
Chile U23
0 : 5
Argentina U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
12 Jan
Chile U23
3 : 0
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 6

USA U23

(Away)
13 Jul
USA U23
1 : 0
Paraguay U23
12 Jun
USA U23
0 : 2
Japan U23
25 Mar
France U23
2 : 2
USA U23
22 Mar
USA U23
3 : 0
Guinea U23
21 Nov
Morocco U23
1 : 0
USA U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Chile U23 1
USA U23 0
Brazil U23 1
Mexico U23 0
Final
Chile U23 1
Brazil U23 2
USA U23 1
Mexico U23 4