Sport Picks

World

FIFA Series Eden Park

Cape Verde

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chile play Cape Verde in the FIFA Series. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chile averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Cape Verde averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Chile won 1, Cape Verde won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 27, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Chile and 1.63 for Cape Verde. This points to a Cape Verde double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Chile

22%

Draws

39%

Cape Verde

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cape Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Chile picked up more points recently compared to Cape Verde.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Chile Clean Sheet 14%

Cape Verde Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chile	Cape Verde
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	13
Draws	6	7
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.2	1.3
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 FIFA Series

Chile vs Cape Verde

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Brereton Diaz B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gutierrez M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Cape Verde Compare

Top Goalscorer Livramento D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lopes Cabral S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile 38 / 100

Cape Verde 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chile Cape Verde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cape Verde or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chile attacking → ← attacking Cape Verde

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Cape Verde let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Chile went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cape Verde lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 46

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38