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Chile vs Ecuador

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile
Chile Logo

Chile

0 - 0
FT
Ecuador Logo

Ecuador

Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Sub
Guagua D. In: Corozo J.
Out: Guagua D.
65'
Sub
Vidal A. In: Cabral L.
Out: Vidal A.
76'
Sub
Pizarro V. In: Aranguiz C.
Out: Pizarro V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Chile and Ecuador finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chile
15%
Draws
37%
Ecuador
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ecuador come out ahead of Chile on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chile's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Chile Clean Sheet 68%
Ecuador Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile Ecuador
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 13
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.2 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 World Championship
Chile vs Ecuador
0:0
Nov 21, 2023 World Championship
Ecuador vs Chile
1:0
Nov 17, 2021 World Championship
Chile vs Ecuador
0:2
Sep 5, 2021 World Championship
Ecuador vs Chile
0:0
Jun 21, 2019 Copa América
Ecuador vs Chile
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile 51 / 100
Ecuador 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile Ecuador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Chile remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Chile's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ecuador conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chile VS Ecuador
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile

(Home)
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
06 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1
Chile
30 Mar
New Zealand
4 : 1
Chile
27 Mar
Chile
4 : 2
Cape Verde
18 Nov
Chile
2 : 1
Peru
Page 1 of 6

Ecuador

(Away)
01 Jul
Mexico
2 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0
Curacao
14 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Ecuador
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0
Guatemala
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 18 12 2 4 31:10 38
2 Ecuador 18 8 8 2 14:5 29
3 Colombia 18 7 7 4 28:18 28
4 Uruguay 18 7 7 4 22:12 28
5 Brazil 18 8 4 6 24:17 28
6 Paraguay 18 7 7 4 14:10 28
7 Bolivia 18 6 2 10 17:35 20
8 Venezuela 18 4 6 8 18:28 18
9 Peru 18 2 6 10 6:21 12
10 Chile 18 2 5 11 9:27 11
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)