Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Chile play Ecuador in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chile averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Ecuador averaged 1.06 goals scored and 0.58 conceded. In past meetings, Chile won 1, Ecuador won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 26, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Chile and 1.38 for Ecuador. This points to a Ecuador double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chile picked up more points recently compared to Ecuador.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.38 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chile | Ecuador |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 13 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chile scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Ecuador let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Chile went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Ecuador lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31:10 | 38 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14:5 | 29 |
| 3 | Colombia | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28:18 | 28 |
| 4 | Uruguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22:12 | 28 |
| 5 | Brazil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 6 | Paraguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 14:10 | 28 |
| 7 | Bolivia | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 17:35 | 20 |
| 8 | Venezuela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:28 | 18 |
| 9 | Peru | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 6:21 | 12 |
| 10 | Chile | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9:27 | 11 |