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Chile vs Panama

World World

Friendly International 2025 Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Guerra N.
5' Event
Uribe A.
20'
Sub
Perdomo R. In: Modelo A.
Out: Perdomo R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Chile and Panama finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chile.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chile
6%
Draws
4%
Panama
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Panama come out ahead of Chile on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chile a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Chile Clean Sheet 68%
Panama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile Panama
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Friendly International
Chile vs Panama
6:1
Jun 15, 2016 Copa América
Chile vs Panama
4:2
Feb 2, 2016 Friendly International
Chile vs Panama
0:0
Jan 21, 2010 Friendly International
Chile vs Panama
2:1
Jun 7, 2008 Friendly International
Chile vs Panama
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Uribe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Panama Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile 95 / 100
Panama 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile Panama

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Panama let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: Chile remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Panama lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chile VS Panama
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%