Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chile W vs Uruguay W

South America South America

Copa América Women Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito
Chile W Logo

Chile W

0 - 3
FT
Uruguay W Logo

Uruguay W

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Felipe C.
12'
Saez C.
40' Event
Gonzalez P.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chile W
15%
Draws
34%
Uruguay W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chile W have won more games recently than Uruguay W.
  • Win probability leans Chile W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Chile W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uruguay W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Chile W Clean Sheet 68%
Uruguay W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile W Uruguay W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Uruguay W vs Chile W
1:3
Jul 25, 2025 Copa América Women
Chile W vs Uruguay W
0:3
Dec 3, 2024 Friendly International Women
Chile W vs Uruguay W
0:1
Nov 30, 2024 Friendly International Women
Chile W vs Uruguay W
1:0
Sep 17, 2021 Friendly International Women
Chile W vs Uruguay W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Uruguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosa W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile W 59 / 100
Uruguay W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile W Uruguay W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Uruguay W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Uruguay W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chile W VS Uruguay W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile W

(Home)
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
15 Apr
Colombia W
2 : 0
Chile W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
07 Mar
Paraguay W
0 : 1
Chile W
Page 1 of 6

Uruguay W

(Away)
09 Jun
Uruguay W
1 : 1
Venezuela W
05 Jun
Colombia W
1 : 0
Uruguay W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina W 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
2 Uruguay W 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Chile W 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Ecuador W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Peru W 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil W 4 3 1 0 12:1 10
2 Colombia W 4 2 2 0 12:1 8
3 Paraguay W 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Venezuela W 4 1 1 2 8:5 4
5 Bolivia W 4 0 0 4 1:25 0
Promotion - Copa América Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa América Women (5th-6th places)