Sport Picks

Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2010

Belcard Grodno

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chimik Svetlogorsk play Belcard Grodno in the Pershaya Liga 2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chimik Svetlogorsk averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Belcard Grodno averaged 1 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. In past meetings, Chimik Svetlogorsk won 4, Belcard Grodno won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 8, 2011 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Chimik Svetlogorsk and 1.81 for Belcard Grodno. This points to a Chimik Svetlogorsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Chimik Svetlogorsk

15%

Draws

40%

Belcard Grodno

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chimik Svetlogorsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Chimik Svetlogorsk picked up more points recently compared to Belcard Grodno.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Chimik Svetlogorsk Clean Sheet 11%

Belcard Grodno Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chimik Svetlogorsk	Belcard Grodno
Matches Played	42	34
Wins	10	10
Draws	10	6
Losses	22	18
Goals Scored	0.88	1
Goals Conceded	1.6	1.62

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2011 Pershaya Liga

Belcard Grodno vs Chimik Svetlogorsk

Possession: 52% - 60% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Jun 19, 2011 Pershaya Liga

Chimik Svetlogorsk vs Belcard Grodno

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sep 11, 2010 Pershaya Liga

Chimik Svetlogorsk vs Belcard Grodno

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

May 19, 2010 Pershaya Liga

Belcard Grodno vs Chimik Svetlogorsk

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Sep 5, 2009 Pershaya Liga

Chimik Svetlogorsk vs Belcard Grodno

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chimik Svetlogorsk 43 / 100

Belcard Grodno 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chimik Svetlogorsk Belcard Grodno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chimik Svetlogorsk or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chimik Svetlogorsk attacking → ← attacking Belcard Grodno

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chimik Svetlogorsk scored in 50% of their last 42 games.

Belcard Grodno let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Chimik Svetlogorsk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Belcard Grodno lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 36

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Gomel	30	27	1	2	80:16	82
2	SKVICH Minsk	30	17	7	6	52:21	58
3	DSK Gomel	30	17	7	6	52:26	58
4	Mikashevichi	30	16	8	6	52:23	56
5	Rudensk	30	12	7	11	37:39	43
6	FK Baranovici	30	11	10	9	31:37	43
7	Polotsk	30	9	12	9	38:34	39
8	Chimik Svetlogorsk	30	10	7	13	37:44	37
9	Slavia Mozyr	30	10	7	13	33:44	37
10	Volna Pinsk	30	11	2	17	31:48	35
11	Veras	30	9	8	13	31:39	35
12	Smorgon	30	8	8	14	33:43	32
13	Belcard Grodno	30	8	6	16	25:40	30
14	Rechytsa	30	8	6	16	29:46	30
15	Kommunalnik Slonim	30	5	13	12	23:48	28
16	FK Lida	30	4	7	19	23:59	19