Sport Picks

Stadium Background

China U17 vs Japan U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 King Abdullah Sports City Training Stadium (Pitch C), Jeddah
China U17 Logo

China U17

1 - 2
FT
Japan U17 Logo

Japan U17

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Motosuna A.
46'
Sub
Hoshi S. In: Kitahara M.
Out: Hoshi S.
46'
Sub
Tatemi S. In: Wada T.
Out: Tatemi S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Japan U17 in this AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
China U17
15%
Draws
58%
Japan U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Japan U17 lately — more wins on the board than China U17.
  • Model gives Japan U17 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Japan U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U17, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
China U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Japan U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U17 Japan U17
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 19
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 3.53 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U17
China U17 vs Japan U17
2:3
May 9, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U17
China U17 vs Japan U17
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhao Songyuan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.72

Japan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Motosuna A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kitahara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U17 15 / 100
Japan U17 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U17 Japan U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U17 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Japan U17 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

China U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

China U17 VS Japan U17
5.63 Goals Scored 2.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

China U17

(Home)
11 Jul
China U17
1 : 1
Nigeria U17
08 Jul
China U17
0 : 2
Tanzania U17
05 Jul
China U17
3 : 0
Australia U17
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
China U17
2 : 0
Australia U17
Page 1 of 6

Japan U17

(Away)
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
Japan U17
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U17
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Japan U17
3 : 1
Indonesia U17
09 May
China U17
1 : 2
Japan U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U17 3 2 1 0 11:5 7
2 Tajikistan U17 3 2 1 0 8:5 7
3 Thailand U17 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
4 Myanmar U17 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 China U17 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
3 Qatar U17 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Indonesia U17 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
2 South Korea U17 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Yemen U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 United Arab Emirates U17 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U17 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Australia U17 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 India U17 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
4 North Korea U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)