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China U17 vs Tanzania U17

World World

Friendly International
Wed, Jul 8, 2026
VS
11:35 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

China U17 play Tanzania U17 in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, China U17 averaged 3.75 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Tanzania U17 averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. In past meetings, China U17 won 3, Tanzania U17 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for China U17 and 1.25 for Tanzania U17. This points to a China U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
China U17
15%
Draws
39%
Tanzania U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: China U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • China U17 picked up more points recently compared to Tanzania U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
China U17 Clean Sheet 19%
Tanzania U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U17 Tanzania U17
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 3.75 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Friendly International
China U17 vs Tanzania U17
2-2
Apr 12, 2025 Friendly International
Tanzania U17 vs China U17
1-2
Mar 12, 2025 Friendly International
China U17 vs Tanzania U17
2-2
Feb 12, 2025 Friendly International
Tanzania U17 vs China U17
1-2
Jan 12, 2025 Friendly International
China U17 vs Tanzania U17
3-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U17 45 / 100
Tanzania U17 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U17 Tanzania U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: China U17 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

China U17 attacking → ← attacking Tanzania U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U17 scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Tanzania U17 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

China U17 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tanzania U17 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 41
4.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13