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China U19 vs Mongolia U19

World World

Friendly International 2024 Shuangliu Sports Center, Chengdu
Wed, Nov 13, 2024
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

China U19 host Mongolia U19 in the Friendly International 2024. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Mongolia U19 have shipped 4.83 goals a game lately, while China U19 have conceded 1.11 and scored 1.22. Head-to-head, China U19 have won 0 to Mongolia U19's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 13, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.35 - 0.88) back China U19 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
China U19
15%
Draws
32%
Mongolia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: China U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Mongolia U19 haven't matched China U19's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans China U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
China U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Mongolia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U19 Mongolia U19
Matches Played 27 6
Wins 12 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.22 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.11 4.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2024 Friendly International
China U19 vs Mongolia U19
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U19 95 / 100
Mongolia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U19 Mongolia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mongolia U19 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 6 outings.

China U19 scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

China U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mongolia U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China U19 VS Mongolia U19
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

China U19

(Home)
13 Aug
China U19
0 : 2
Iran U20
10 Aug
China U19
2 : 0
Iran U20
10 Jun
China U19
2 : 0
South Korea U19
08 Jun
China U19
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U19
04 Jun
China U19
1 : 0
Vietnam U19
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Mongolia U19

(Away)
10 Nov
Mongolia U19
4 : 3
Guam U19
08 Nov
Mongolia U19
0 : 9
Japan U19
06 Nov
Vietnam U19
3 : 0
Mongolia U19
08 Nov
Singapore U19
2 : 4
Mongolia U19
06 Nov
Mongolia U19
2 : 5
Thailand U19
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