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China U20 vs Qatar U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base - Artificial grass, Shenzhen
China U20 Logo

China U20

2 - 1
FT
Qatar U20 Logo

Qatar U20

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kuai Jiwen
Assist: Mao W.
21' Event
Liu Chengyu
Assist: Chen Zeshi
51'
Liu Chengyu
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

China U20 in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
China U20
20%
Draws
36%
Qatar U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • China U20 have won more games recently than Qatar U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • China U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor China U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
China U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Qatar U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U20 Qatar U20
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.12 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U20
China U20 vs Qatar U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuai Jiwen
1 Goals
Assists Leader Liu Chengyu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.56

Qatar U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Faragalla M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U20 32 / 100
Qatar U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U20 Qatar U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qatar U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Qatar U20 conceded in 70% of 23 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: China U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China U20 VS Qatar U20
0.86 Goals Scored 0.38
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

China U20

(Home)
07 Jun
China U20
0 : 3
Tunisia U23
05 Jun
Colombia U19
0 : 1
China U20
02 Jun
China U20
0 : 3
D.R. Congo U20
31 May
China U20
1 : 0
Saudi Arabia U21
31 Mar
China U20
2 : 4
Australia U20
Page 1 of 6

Qatar U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Saudi Arabia U20
1 : 0
Qatar U20
03 Sept
Hong Kong U20
0 : 3
Qatar U20
31 Aug
Qatar U20
1 : 2
Oman U20
24 Aug
Qatar U20
0 : 0
Bahrain U20
21 Aug
Qatar U20
2 : 2
Palestine U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U20 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 China U20 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Qatar U20 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
2 Iraq U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Jordan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 North Korea U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Uzbekistan U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Indonesia U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
4 Yemen U20 3 0 1 2 0:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Japan U20 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
3 Syria U20 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
4 Thailand U20 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)