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China U20 W vs Spain U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women U20 ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Agote D.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Comendador P.
45' Event
Comendador P.
Assist: Segura C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
China U20 W
15%
Draws
67%
Spain U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Spain U20 W have won more games recently than China U20 W.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Spain U20 W taking it.
  • Spain U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
China U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U20 W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U20 W Spain U20 W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 24
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 2.07 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 World Cup Women U20
China U20 W vs Spain U20 W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Huang Jiaxin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Spain U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Comendador P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U20 W 10 / 100
Spain U20 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U20 W Spain U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

China U20 W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Spain U20 W conceded in 42% of 31 recent games.

China U20 W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

China U20 W VS Spain U20 W
1.75 Goals Scored 4.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

China U20 W

(Home)
16 Sept
Italy U20 W
2 : 1
China U20 W
13 Sept
China U20 W
1 : 3
Spain U20 W
10 Sept
China U20 W
0 : 0
Nigeria U20 W
07 Sept
New Caledonia U20 W
0 : 5
China U20 W
15 Apr
China U20 W
0 : 2
Japan U20 W
Page 1 of 6

Spain U20 W

(Away)
27 Sept
Spain U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
23 Sept
Italy U20 W
0 : 2
Spain U20 W
19 Sept
Brazil U20 W
0 : 1
Spain U20 W
16 Sept
Spain U20 W
2 : 0
Portugal U20 W
13 Sept
China U20 W
1 : 3
Spain U20 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Argentina U20 W 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
3 Mexico U20 W 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
4 Benin U20 W 3 0 1 2 3:14 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 England U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Canada U20 W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
4 Tanzania U20 W 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U20 W 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 South Korea U20 W 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Ecuador U20 W 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
4 Ghana U20 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U20 W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Japan U20 W 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 USA U20 W 3 1 1 1 12:4 4
4 New Zealand U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 W 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Portugal U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Colombia U20 W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Costa Rica U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U20 W 3 3 0 0 16:1 9
2 Nigeria U20 W 3 1 1 1 10:3 4
3 China U20 W 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
4 New Caledonia U20 W 3 0 0 3 1:26 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U20 (Play Offs)